Tag Archives: $US_F

Pre-NFP Risk-On/Risk-Off Positioning Update

we’ve been away from posting for a couple of weeks, one because we have seen the market unfold exactly as planned with bonds rallying to new highs as we stated in the Internal Conflict Inside the Fed’s Bubble of Fear … Continue reading

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Inverted Risk-On/Off Update – Gluttons For Punishment

This week’s CFTC COT report shows our Inverted Risk-On/Off trade as represented by the large speculator’s net position a substantial paring down of the risk-on long $FV_F while re-initiating a material increase in a net short $ES_F position increasing from … Continue reading

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Inverted Risk-On/Off Unwind Update

in last weekend’s Inverted Risk-On/Risk-Off Update we said, The coming week also sees the quarterly expiration and with both equity and bond markets at critical junctures there could be some unexpected volatility and thus serious pain for this inverted risk trade … Continue reading

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Inverted Risk-On/Risk-Off Update

This week’s CFTC COT report shows the large specs have maintained their net short $ES_F position with the market near its highs while as well as their net long $FV_F with yields near record lows. according to ISI fund flow … Continue reading

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Who Wins the Game of Long Bond Pong?

The past 4 month 4 point range in the $US_F contract has been truly remarkable.  With a 4 point range off a $140 you aren’t talking about a lot of price volatility going back to last November.  When you have … Continue reading

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